2/4/04
- My Annual Recruiting Rant...

It's that time again...

Time for some people to go ga ga over the latest players to take the challenge of being a Wolverine.  Some have even proposed that recruiting signing day be declared a holiday...It's worthy of being a holiday alright- a made-up Hallmark holiday. 

Today marks the entry of raw materials into the Michigan football factory.  Some of the materials will be worthy; some won't make it into the final product.  The players who take the challenge today will be transformed during the next few years and be very different people by time they take the field for the Wolverines. 

But this when many of the problems begin in the fan community begin.  Recruiting analysts build these guys up to the next coming of Charles Woodson, Desmond Howard and Tom Brady all rolled into one.  And then when they're sitting on the bench uninformed fans will call for these players to be put in without ever having seen them play a single down.

The evaluation of recruiting classes is big business and is about as accurate as weather forecasting.  People tune in no matter how many times the forecasters are wrong.

In my opinion, recruiting is one of the most overblown and misunderstood facets of collegiate athletics.  I'm not saying that recruiting isn't important, but the rating of recruits and recruiting classes is a very inexact science.  High school statistics are practically meaningless.  The number of touchdowns or tackles that a recruit had in high school is no indication of their future success in college football.

Physical size and speed can be measured- but what about heart and mental toughness?

If you look at recruiting classes historically almost 1/2 of each class won't reach their senior season.  Injuries, academic problems, homesickness, run-ins with law, and lack of playing time will take a toll on this year's recruits just like it has in the past.  

It amazes me how people can get so excited over player X who played at Y High School from Z, USA when you've never even seen him play a down of football for Michigan. High school stars come in laboring under huge expectations that are a residual of the recruiting process.  I've seen players who were unstoppable in high school disappear once they get to college.  I've seen players who were merely good in high school become stars.  A good example of this is former UM OT Jon Jansen.  I saw him play in high school for two years.  He beat our team with a touchdown in the league championship game.  Nice kid, good student, but when UM signed him early I kind of wondered what the coaches were thinking.  There were better high school athletes on the field when I saw him play.  Well, years later not only did he end up setting a UM record for consecutive starts and be ranked as one of the top 100 UM players of all-time but now he's starting in the NFL.  From that time I made a vow to myself- I judge college players on what I see during the spring practice and regular season games. 

That's all you really have to judge a player on.

UMGoBlue.COM will only report on players in the News section who actually commit and sign with Michigan.  Any reports on potential recruits will be limited to the discussion forums.  I agree with many coaches who think that the Internet isn't so great for the recruiting process.  Too many unsubstantiated rumors abound and once published become fodder for other schools to use against UM.  Site A reports that player X is a sure thing to sign with UM.  Maybe the UM coaches don't even want player X but school N tells player Y (who UM might really wants) to sign with them since UM has already promised X a scholarship.  We hope to limit the impact of these rumors by keeping them in the discussion forums which are obviously open to the public. 

Michigan is a football factory.  As long as a good number of high quality recruits are poured in, we'll get our stars.  Players who can't miss will.  A few marginal players coming in will blossom and become stars.

I'm excited about the Wolverines getting a great class but I'll temper my enthusiasm until I see some of these recruits on the field in the Big House. 

No matter what happens on signing day consider the following:

Remember how disappointed Wolverine fans were a few years ago when QB Jeff Smoker chose Michigan State instead of Michigan?  Who knew that we were avoiding a huge problem.

Remember how excited we were a few years ago when RB Kelly Baraka chose Michigan over Notre Dame?  How'd that one turn out?

Go Blue!

Phil Callihan
UMGoBlue.COM
, Editor-in-Chief
phil@umgoblue.com
 


 



Phil Callihan is the Editor-in- Chief of UMGoBlue.COM.  Phil graduated from the University of Michigan in 1993 and has been a football season ticket holder since 1994.

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