4/10/2006 – Week #23 – Season Wrap-Up, Final Grades, Looking Ahead

Season Wrap-Up

In general, it was a disappointing season for the University of Michigan men's basketball team.  On the one hand, they ended up with a very respectable record (22-11 overall, 8-8 in the Big Ten), and they won 4 games in the National Invitation Tournament (NIT), but on the other hand, they did lose to Minnesota in the 1st round of the Big Ten Tournament, which kept them out of the NCAA Tournament again.

As I said in last week's column, I suppose that there's something to be said for playing in 5 postseason games in the NIT, instead of losing in the 1st or 2nd round of the, like all the Big Ten teams did, but if you can't get into the Big Dance, the only real consolation is winning the Little Dance, and Michigan came up short.

The saddest part about the way the season ended is that this year's senior class, especially Graham Brown, Daniel Horton, and Chris Hunter, deserved a lot better.  This was a very good senior class, and they had the misfortune to be on a hard-luck team that just barely missed making the Big Dance.  If Michigan had suffered one less key injury, not had an academic ineligibility, or had gotten one less bad break somewhere along the line, this season could have ended very differently.  I understand that injuries, academic ineligibilities, and bad breaks are part of the game, but UM seemed snakebit this season (and last) by extra injuries and extra bad breaks, all at the worst possible time.  I guess what I'm trying to say is that the team was better than their record and results show.

Speaking of their results, here are the final results for this season:

Date

Opponent

Site

Result

Score

Record

11/18/2005 (Fri)

Central Michigan

Ann Arbor

W

87-60

1-0

11/22/2005 (Tue)

Boston University

Boston, MA

W

51-46

2-0

11/26/2005 (Sat)

Butler

Ann Arbor

W

78-74

3-0

11/29/2005 (Tue)

Miami (FL)

Ann Arbor

W

74-53

4-0

12/03/2005 (Sat)

Notre Dame

South Bend, IN

W

71-67

5-0

12/07/2005 (Wed)

Delaware State

Ann Arbor

W

69-49

6-0

12/10/2005 (Sat)

South Florida

Tampa, FL

W

68-47

7-0

12/17/2005 (Sat)

UCLA

Ann Arbor

L

61-68

7-1

12/22/2005 (Thu)

Miami (OH)

Ann Arbor

W

87-80

8-1

12/28/2005 (Wed)

Coppin State

Ann Arbor

W

81-53

9-1

12/31/2005 (Sat)

Chicago State

Ann Arbor

W

86-69

10-1

01/03/2006 (Tue)

Indiana

Bloomington, IN

L

63-70

10-2 (0-1)

01/07/2006 (Sat)

Purdue

Ann Arbor

W

68-65

11-2 (1-1)

01/14/2006 (Sat)

Illinois

Champaign, IL

L

74-79

11-3 (1-2)

01/18/2006 (Wed)

Northwestern

Ann Arbor

W

68-51

12-3 (2-2)

01/21/2006 (Sat)

Minnesota

Minneapolis, MN

W

71-55

13-3 (3-2)

01/25/2006 (Wed)

Michigan State

Ann Arbor

W

72-67

14-3 (4-2)

01/28/2006 (Sat)

Wisconsin

Ann Arbor

W

85-76

15-3 (5-2)

02/01/2006 (Wed)

Penn State

State College, PA

W

71-65

16-3 (6-2)

02/04/2006 (Sat)

Iowa

Iowa City, IA

L

66-94

16-4 (6-3)

02/09/2006 (Thu)

Ohio State

Ann Arbor

L

85-94

16-5 (6-4)

02/11/2006 (Sat)

Purdue

West Lafayette, IN

L

70-84

16-6 (6-5)

02/15/2006 (Wed)

Minnesota

Ann Arbor

W

72-50

17-6 (7-5)

02/18/2006 (Sat)

Michigan State

East Lansing, MI

L

71-90

17-7 (7-6)

02/21/2006 (Tue)

Illinois

Ann Arbor

W

72-64

18-7 (8-6)

02/25/2006 (Sat)

Ohio State

Columbus, OH

L

54-64

18-8 (8-7)

03/04/2006 (Sat)

Indiana

Ann Arbor

L

67-69

18-9 (8-8)

 

Big Ten Tournament

03/09/2006 (Thu)

Round 1: Minnesota

Indianapolis, IN

L

55-59

18-10

 

 

 

 

 

 

National Invitation Tournament (NIT)

03/16/2006 (Thu)

Round 1: UTEP

Ann Arbor

W

82-67

19-10

03/20/2006 (Mon)

Round 2: Notre Dame

Ann Arbor

W

87-84

20-10

03/22/2006 (Wed)

Round 3: Miami (FL)

Ann Arbor

W

71-65

21-10

03/28/2006 (Tue)

Round 4: Old Dominion

New York, NY

W

66-43

22-10

03/30/2006 (Thu)

Round 5: South Carolina

New York, NY

L

64-76

22-11

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As you can see, UM peaked in early February, when they were 16-3 (6-2 in the Big Ten).  From that point on, they lost 7 out of their next 9 games, before winning 4 in a row in the NIT, and losing in the championship game.  Three of those seven losses were predictable and forgivable (at Iowa, at Michigan State, at Ohio State), and two of them were toss-up games (home vs. Ohio State, home vs. Indiana), but the other two should have been wins (at Purdue, and vs. Minnesota).  Those 2 wins would have put Michigan in the Big Dance, and made it a lot easier to consider the season a success.

So, what happened?  How did Michigan go from a ranked (#20) 16-3 team to a "bubble team" to an NIT team?  As I mentioned above, it was a wicked combination of injuries, academic ineligibility, and bad luck.  Here are the messy details: 

Lester Abram – Last season, he missed 28 games with injuries, and he had injury problems again this season, missing 12 more games.  He missed 2 games due to a toe injury he suffered in the Chicago State game on 12/31/2005, then he missed 10 games after he suffered a high ankle sprain in the Minnesota game on 01/21/2006.  Even when he returned, he wasn't quite the same player.

Dion Harris – He suffered a severe ankle sprain in the Ohio State game on 02/09/2006, and he missed 2 games.  Once again, even though he returned after missing those 2 games, he wasn't the same player for several more games.

Chris Hunter – He suffered a minor knee injury just 2 minutes into the Michigan State game on 02/18/2006, and he missed 3 games because of it.

Brent Petway – He was academically ineligible for the fall semester, which cost him 11 games.

Jerret Smith – He injured his ankle in the Miami (OH) game on 12/22/2005, and he missed 2 games.  He came back from that injury, then he suffered a concussion in the Penn State game on 02/01/2006, then he came down with mononucleosis, and he ended up missing 4 more games.

Here's the complete list:

Date

Opponent

Abram

Harris

Hunter

Petway

Smith

11/18/2005

Central Michigan

 

 

 

Ineligible

 

11/22/2005

Boston University

 

 

 

Ineligible

 

11/26/2005

Butler

 

 

 

Ineligible

 

11/29/2005

Miami (FL)

 

 

 

Ineligible

 

12/03/2005

Notre Dame

 

 

 

Ineligible

 

12/07/2005

Delaware State

 

 

 

Ineligible

 

12/10/2005

South Florida

 

 

 

Ineligible

 

12/17/2005

UCLA

 

 

 

Ineligible

 

12/22/2005

Miami (OH)

 

 

 

Ineligible

 

12/28/2005

Coppin State

 

 

 

Ineligible

Injury

12/31/2005

Chicago State

 

 

 

Ineligible

Injury

01/03/2006

Indiana

Injury

 

 

 

 

01/07/2006

Purdue

Injury

 

 

 

 

01/14/2006

Illinois

 

 

 

 

 

01/18/2006

Northwestern

 

 

 

 

 

01/21/2006

Minnesota

 

 

 

 

 

01/25/2006

Michigan State

Injury

 

 

 

 

01/28/2006

Wisconsin

Injury

 

 

 

 

02/01/2006

Penn State

 

 

 

 

 

02/04/2006

Iowa

Injury

 

 

 

Injury

02/09/2006

Ohio State

Injury

 

 

 

Injury

02/11/2006

Purdue

Injury

Injury

 

 

Illness

02/15/2006

Minnesota

Injury

Injury

 

 

Illness

02/18/2006

Michigan State

Injury

 

 

 

 

02/21/2006

Illinois

Injury

 

Injury

 

 

02/25/2006

Ohio State

Injury

 

Injury

 

 

03/04/2006

Indiana

Injury

 

Injury

 

 

03/09/2006

Minnesota

 

 

 

 

 

03/16/2006

UTEP

 

 

 

 

 

03/20/2006

Notre Dame

 

 

 

 

 

03/22/2006

Miami (FL)

 

 

 

 

 

03/28/2006

Old Dominion

 

 

 

 

 

03/30/2006

South Carolina

 

 

 

 

 

Totals

12

2

3

11

6

That's a (not so) grand total of 34 games, which isn't as bad as last season's total (76 games), but it's still bad.  As you can see, Coach Tommy Amaker had his full squad to work with for only 9 of the 33 games.

Good/Bad Wins/Losses

Not all wins are good wins, and not all losses are bad losses.  Sure, a win is a win, and a loss is a loss, but some wins can be discouraging, and some losses can be encouraging.  I know, Michigan doesn’t believe in “moral victories” in any of their sports, but I do.  Therefore, I’ve gone back over the season, and found the good and bad wins, and the good and bad losses:

 

Good wins
 

Date

Opponent

Location

Score

Comments

11/22/2005 Boston University Boston, MA

51-46

Won the 1st road game of the season, against a pretty good team.
11/29/2005 Miami (FL) Ann Arbor

74-53

Won a Big 10/ACC Challenge game.
12/03/2005 Notre Dame South Bend, IN

71-67

Won on the road, against a good team.
01/21/2006 Minnesota Minneapolis, MN

71-55

It's tough to win on the road in the Big Ten, especially at Minnesota.  Just ask Indiana, Michigan State, and Iowa.
01/25/2006 (#12) Michigan State Ann Arbor

72-67

The biggest win of the season.
01/28/2006 (#21) Wisconsin Ann Arbor

85-76

Beat 2 ranked teams in 3 days.
02/01/2006 Penn State State College, PA

71-65

Any win on the road in the Big Ten is a big win.
02/21/2006 (#8) Illinois Ann Arbor

72-64

The highest-ranked team that Michigan has beaten in years.
03/20/2006 Notre Dame Ann Arbor

87-84 (2 ot)

2nd round of the NIT.
03/22/2006 Miami (FL) Ann Arbor

71-65

3rd round of the NIT.

 

Good losses
 

Date

Opponent

Location

Score

Comments

12/17/2005 (#14) UCLA Ann Arbor

61-68

A close game against the eventual National Semifinalists.
01/14/2006 (#7) Illinois Champaign, IL

74-79

Michigan took (and missed) the last shot to send it to overtime.
02/09/2006 Ohio State Ann Arbor

85-94

Michigan hung in there with the eventual Big Ten champions.

 

Bad wins
 

Date

Opponent

Location

Score

Comments

01/07/2006 Purdue Ann Arbor

68-65

Michigan should have beaten them handily.

 

Bad losses
 

Date

Opponent

Location

Score

Comments

02/11/2006 Purdue West Lafayette, IN

70-84

Quite possibly the worst loss in a few years.  UM should have won easily.
03/04/2006 Indiana Ann Arbor

67-69

Michigan blew a big lead, should have won.
03/09/2006 Minnesota Indianapolis, IN

55-59

Michigan should have beaten them handily.

03/30/2006 South Carolina New York, NY

64-76

Michigan played a listless, lethargic game, could have beaten them.

As you can see, there are a lot more “Good Wins” than anything else, and only 4 “Bad Losses”.

Season Statistics

The Athletic Department publishes complete statistics after every game, and they’re very thorough and complete.  They’re also a bit much to digest.  Here are the “stats lite” for this season.

First, let's look at the team shooting statistics for the season:

Team Field goals 3-Pointers Free throws
Michigan 842-1753 (48.0%) 218-582 (37.5%) 465-617 (75.4%)
Opponents 804-1814 (44.3%) 222-611 (36.3%) 367-523 (70.2%)
Advantage Michigan Michigan Michigan

These stats are very positive.  Sure, the other guys made more 3-pointers, but they didn't shoot them as well, so it's a minor advantage for Michigan.  It's impressive that UM made almost 100 more free throws than their opponents.

Next, let’s check out the team non-shooting statistics for the season:

Team

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Blocks

Steals

Michigan

1115

488

495

132

215

Opponents

974

457

460

110

203

Advantage

Mich

Mich

Opp

Mich

Mich

Last season, Michigan lost 4 of these 5 categories, but this season, they turned that around.  It's a little disappointing that UM had more turnovers than assists.

Now, let’s look at the individual shooting stats for the season:

 

Player

 

Field Goals

 

3-Pointers

 

Free Throws

Points

Total

Per Game

Lester Abram

71-134 (0.530)

17-40 (0.425)

52-63 (0.825)

211

10.0

Amadou Ba

2-4 (0.500)

0-0 (0.000)

1-2 (0.500)

5

0.4

Graham Brown

72-113 (0.637)

0-0 (0.000)

25-50 (0.500)

169

5.1

Alex Brzozowicz

0-0 (0.000)

0-0 (0.000)

0-0 (0.000)

0

0.0

Ron Coleman

70-171 (0.409)

27-75 (0.360)

25-35 (0.714)

192

5.8

Hayes Grooms

1-12 (0.083)

1-7 (0.143)

9-11 (0.818)

12

0.6

Sherrod Harrell

4-7 (0.571)

1-1 (1.000)

5-6 (0.833)

14

0.8

Dion Harris

121-300 (0.403)

69-177 (0.390)

32-39 (0.821)

343

11.1

Daniel Horton

187-418 (0.447)

71-180 (0.394)

136-151 (0.901)

581

17.6

Chris Hunter

84-190 (0.442)

19-63 (0.302)

57-71 (0.803)

244

8.1

Brent Petway

51-86 (0.593)

0-1 (0.000)

20-35 (0.571)

122

5.5

Troy Sanchez

0-0 (0.000)

0-0 (0.000)

0-0 (0.000)

0

0.0

Jevohn Shepherd

16-45 (0.356)

4-15 (0.267)

12-24 (0.500)

48

1.8

Courtney Sims

143-226 (0.633)

0-0 (0.000)

74-104 (0.712)

360

10.9

Jerret Smith

20-47 (0.426)

9-23 (0.391)

17-26 (0.654)

66

2.4

Forget about the subs and scrubs, and look at the "regular" players.  Graham Brown shot 63.7%, which is very good. Courtney Sims shot 63.3%, Brent Petway shot 59.3%, and Lester Abram shot 53.0%.  Even the players who shot below 50% did OK: Daniel Horton with 44.7%, Chris Hunter with 44.2%, Jerret Smith with 42.6%, Ron Coleman with 40.9%, and Dion Harris with 40.3%.  Only Jevohn Shepherd failed to crack 40%.

It was also encouraging that Michigan had more scoring balance this season.  Last season, only 2 players averaged in double figures, but this season there were 4 of them.

Finally, let’s check out the individual non-shooting stats for the season:

Player

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Blocks

Steals

Lester Abram

70

22

29

5

21

Amadou Ba

3

0

1

0

1

Graham Brown

240

38

55

9

26

Alex Brzozowicz

0

0

1

0

0

Ron Coleman

89

27

32

3

17

Hayes Grooms

4

15

11

0

7

Sherrod Harrell

10

7

6

1

3

Dion Harris

90

86

49

3

29

Daniel Horton

84

174

115

11

64

Chris Hunter

115

11

45

30

18

Brent Petway

80

9

8

19

8

Troy Sanchez

0

0

0

0

0

Jevohn Shepherd

29

15

18

4

2

Courtney Sims

189

25

78

47

9

Jerret Smith

34

59

41

0

10

These stats are fine.  The point guards (Horton and Smith) had more assists than turnovers, and the big guys (except Petway, who missed a third of the season) had more than 100 rebounds each.

Team Honors

Regardless of the awards announced at the Basketball Bust, here are my awards for this year’s team:

Most Valuable Player: Daniel Horton

Best Defensive Player: Graham Brown

Most Hustle: Graham Brown

Most Improved: Chris Hunter

Best Dunker (ever): Brent Petway
 

Final Grades

It’s time for final grades for the team, and Coach Amaker:

Name

Midterm

Grade

Final

Grade

Comments

Freshmen
Phillip DeVries

Inc.

Inc.

He hasn’t played at all.
Kendric Price

Inc.

Inc.

He hasn’t played at all, due to being red-shirted.
Jevohn Shepherd

B-

B-

He's a smaller, lighter version of Brent Petway.  He's a leaper, and he's very fast and athletic.  He can hit 3-pointers, but he's not a very good shooter.
Jerret Smith

B

B

He's a natural point guard, and he's done pretty well out there.  He seems fairly poised, but he's not a very good shooter.
 
Sophomores
Ron Coleman

B-

B

After a slow start this season, he improved as the season went on.
Alex Brzozowicz

Inc.

Inc.

He didn’t play much at all.
 
Juniors
Lester Abram

B+

B

He started off strong this season, but had a rough 2nd half, due to injuries.
Amadou Ba

C

C

He didn’t play much at all, but when he did, he did OK out there.  He's not very quick, and he isn't a natural basketball player, but he tries hard.
Dion Harris

B+

B

He was just turning into a weapon, when he hurt his ankle.  It took several games back for him to start to regain his form.
Brent Petway

Inc.

B

He didn't play at all in the non-conference portion of the season, due to academic ineligibility.  He did OK during the Big Ten season.
Courtney Sims

B+

B-

He still needs to play stronger and meaner inside, but has a nice touch, and great hands and agility.  He "disappears" out there too often.
 
Seniors
Graham Brown

B+

B+

He did all the little things to help Michigan win.  He's not a big scorer, but he's a strong presence inside, and a fierce competitor.
Hayes Grooms

B-

B-

He didn’t play much, but he played fairly well when he was in there.  He has decent ball-handling skills, and decent speed.
Sherrod Harrell

B-

B-

He didn’t play much, but he played fairly well when he was in there.  He has decent ball-handling skills, and good speed.
Daniel Horton

A-

A-

He was a true leader out there, and he occasionally picked the team up and carried them on his back.  He had a great senior season, both as a scorer, and as a ball-handler.
Chris Hunter

B+

B+

He was Michigan's star 6th man.  He had a very nice jumper, including good 3-point shooting.  He had good ball-handling, especially for his size.
Troy Sanchez

Inc.

Inc.

He didn’t play much at all.
 
Coach
Tommy Amaker

B+

B

He's a decent recruiter, a good practice coach, and a decent bench coach.  He needs to recruit another good, solid class, and soon.

As you can see, almost all the grades went down, even though the disappointing finish to the season wasn’t any one player’s fault.  It was a team effort.

Looking Ahead

The future looks reasonably bright for next season.  The bad news is that Michigan loses 5 "regular" players off this year's roster (Brown, Grooms, Harrell, Horton, and Hunter).  The good news is that there are several good returning players (Abram, Coleman, Harris, Petway, Shepherd, Sims, and Smith), along with Kendric Price, who will play as a redshirt freshman.  The Wolverines have also signed 2 promising new freshmen (K'len Morris and DeShawn Sims), they have a verbal commitment from a third player (Anthony Wright), and they're in the running for a fourth player (Patrick Beverley). This is a good nucleus, but there won't be as much depth as this season, and it's hard to replace players like Brown and Horton.  The big thing that Michigan will be missing is height.  There will be lots of 6'6" – 6'8" players, but not enough 6'11" players.

Let’s take a quick look at the 2 incoming freshmen who have already committed and signed for next season:

K'len Morris

6’4”, 185 pounds, W

Grand Blanc, MI

He’s listed as a wing in some publications, and a shooting guard in others.  He’s a great shooter, and a very versatile player.

DeShawn Sims

6’8”, 220 pounds, F

Detroit, MI

He's a good shooter, and a slasher heading to the hoop.

Here's the player who has given Michigan a verbal commitment:

Anthony Wright

6'6", 240 pounds, F

Sterling, VA

He's a good passer, a good shooter, and a good ball-handler.

Finally, here's the player that Michigan is still in the running for:

Patrick Beverley

6'2", 175 pounds, G

Chicago, IL

He's a great scorer, not afraid to drive the lane.

As you can see, there is reason to be optimistic.  Be sure to check back in November, when I start writing columns for next season.  Until then…

Go Blue!

Drew Montag
UMGoBlue.COM
Basketball Editor
dmontag@umgoblue.com




Drew Montag is the Basketball Editor for the UMGoBlue.COM. Drew graduated from the University of Michigan in 1978 and has both football and basketball season tickets.

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